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Ukraine Repels Russia’s Initial Blitz (What’s Next?)
Cold War 2.0 Ex-Soviet

Ukraine Repels Russia’s Initial Blitz (What’s Next?)

Russia has failed to break through Ukrainian defenses in Kiyv and Kharkiv, despite successive airborne and armored assaults backed by artillery, since 24 February 2022. The Ukrainian military has significantly...
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Russia Invades Ukraine: First Day of War Through OSINT
Cold War 2.0 Euro-Atlantic

Russia Invades Ukraine: First Day of War Through OSINT

In the early hours of 24 February 2022, Russia commenced a series of pre-assault operations to soften Ukrainian defenses ahead of an all-out, multi-axis invasion, which is now in progress....
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Mother of All Bear Scares: Russia Amasses Forces for a Multi-Axis Attack on Ukraine
Russia Russian Invasion of Ukraine Ukraine

Mother of All Bear Scares: Russia Amasses Forces for a Multi-Axis Attack on Ukraine

KEY JUDGEMENTS I. The Russian military build-up around Ukraine is designed for combat operations and not a show of force (“bear scare”). Our estimates are based on the unprecedented scale...
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T-Intell’s OSINT Training Marks One Year Anniversary
News

T-Intell’s OSINT Training Marks One Year Anniversary

On 15 November 2021, T-Intelligence's sister branch and training service, Knowmad OSINT, marked one year since its inception. Around 100 people went through the Knowmad OSINT training to acquire or...
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Attack at Al-Tanf Garrison
Arab Winter MENA News

Attack at Al-Tanf Garrison

A remote U.S. military outpost in southern Syria, known as al-Tanf Garrison (ATG) has been attacked on October 20th. Initial reports, later confirmed by officials speaking on conditions of anonymity to US press, said...
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No Time To Dispute: Russia’s A2/AD in the South Kurils
Asia-Pacific Cold War 2.0

No Time To Dispute: Russia’s A2/AD in the South Kurils

Remote and derelict, riddled with active volcanoes and disputed between Russia and Japan, the South Kurils make the perfect secret lair for any self-respecting evil genius. It’s no wonder the...
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Putin’s Mercenaries on Tour: Mapping the Wagner Group’s Global Activities
Cold War 2.0 Special Research

Putin’s Mercenaries on Tour: Mapping the Wagner Group’s Global Activities

Key Judgements Since its inception in 2014-2015, the Wagner group has expanded from a frontline contractor in Eastern Ukraine, to spearheading Russia’s foreign policy and private business objectives in Syria,...
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IS-K Never Left the Battlefield
CT/ COIN South Asia

IS-K Never Left the Battlefield

Yesterday’s deadly suicide attacks at Kabul airport serve as a grim reminder that “Islamic State-Khorasan province” (IS-K) is still strong, despite the group losing its physical territory in eastern Afghanistan. ...
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Pride of Belarus: Baranovichi 61st Fighter Air Base [GEOINT]
Cold War 2.0 Ex-Soviet

Pride of Belarus: Baranovichi 61st Fighter Air Base [GEOINT]

The 61st Fighter Air Base in Baranovichi is Belarus’ most westwardly and strategic military airfield. Using open-source GEOINT we identified an array of fighter jets and air defense capabilities at...
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NATO Special Operators Now Exfiltrate People Directly from Kabul
CT/ COIN South Asia

NATO Special Operators Now Exfiltrate People Directly from Kabul

Recently emerged open-source information suggests that special operations forces (SOFs) of several NATO members are now evacuating people stranded in Taliban-controlled Kabul.  STUCK IN KABUL Thousands of NATO citizens and...
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Evacuations Amid Chaos at Kabul Airport (Situation Report)
CT/ COIN South Asia

Evacuations Amid Chaos at Kabul Airport (Situation Report)

After capturing the majority of provincial capitals, the Taliban entered the Afghan capital Kabul on Sunday (15 August 2021).  Despite the speed of their advance over the past weeks, most...
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Hot Skies Over the Taiwan Strait: The New Normal of Chinese Incursions
Asia-Pacific Dragon Rising

Hot Skies Over the Taiwan Strait: The New Normal of Chinese Incursions

On 15 June 2021, the Taiwan Ministry of National Defence (MND) reported that 28 aircraft from the People's Liberation Army-Air Force (PLAAF) entered Taiwan’s air defense identification zone (ADIZ) -...
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Operation Ditroite: The HMS Defender Incident Explained
Cold War 2.0 Euro-Atlantic

Operation Ditroite: The HMS Defender Incident Explained

Last week, the Black Sea became the latest theatre upon which tensions flared between the United Kingdom and Russia. On June 23, the British Royal Navy’s Type-45 HMS Defender entered...
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Foxhounds Know How to Killjoy:  Russian MiG-31s Armed with Kinzhal Missiles Arrive in Syria
Cold War 2.0 MENA

Foxhounds Know How to Killjoy: Russian MiG-31s Armed with Kinzhal Missiles Arrive in Syria

Six years after the large-scale operational debut in Syria, Russia continues to pour advanced capabilities and expand its military infrastructure in the war-torn country. Last week, Russia deployed MiG-31K interceptors,...
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“Do Not Enter:” Using OSINT to Monitor Russia’s Wargames in the Black Sea
Cold War 2.0 Euro-Atlantic

“Do Not Enter:” Using OSINT to Monitor Russia’s Wargames in the Black Sea

Russia has concentrated warships from all fleets, except the Pacific fleet, in the Black Sea for joint drills. While not unprecedented, it is rare to see such a show of...
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NATO ISR Planes Monitor Russian Military Build-Up
Cold War 2.0 Euro-Atlantic News

NATO ISR Planes Monitor Russian Military Build-Up

U.S. and British reconnaissance aircraft are intensively monitoring eastern Ukraine, Crimea, and Russia's Black Sea coast amid fears of a renewed Russian offensive. RUSSIA'S 2021 BEAR SCARE In the past...
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Satellite Imagery shows Russian Military Staging Ground near Ukraine
Cold War 2.0 Euro-Atlantic News

Satellite Imagery shows Russian Military Staging Ground near Ukraine

Geospatial intelligence (GEOINT) analyzed by T-Intelligence shows a Russian military staging ground in Voronezh oblast. The newly discovered site has the hallmarks of a logistics node that could sustain a...
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Russia’s Military Build-Up near Ukraine (II): Troops from Siberia, Snap Drills in Crimea, and More Convoys
Cold War 2.0 Euro-Atlantic

Russia’s Military Build-Up near Ukraine (II): Troops from Siberia, Snap Drills in Crimea, and More Convoys

The Russian Federation’s military build-up near Ukraine is expanding, drawing forces from the Central Military District and escalating as thousands of snap exercises take place throughout the country.  Social media...
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Russia’s Massive Troop Movements near Ukraine: Another “Bear Scare”?
Cold War 2.0 Euro-Atlantic

Russia’s Massive Troop Movements near Ukraine: Another “Bear Scare”?

Videos on social media show a massive Russian military deployment near the Ukrainian border in the past 72 hours. Main battle tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, armored personnel carriers, self-propelled artillery, rocket...
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Echoes of the Cold War: Why “Bears” Like the G.I.U.K. Gap
GIUK Gap Russia United Kingdom

Echoes of the Cold War: Why “Bears” Like the G.I.U.K. Gap

Russian military activity in the Greenland-Iceland-UK (GIUK) gap has increased exponentially in the past years. Launched from the Northern Fleet "bastion," submarine-hunting, anti-surface, and maritime surveillance missions are at the...
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