T-Intelligence – Early Warning & Threatcasting

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JANUARY 23, 2022

Mother of All Bear Scares: Russia Amasses Forces for a Multi-Axis Attack on Ukraine

The Russian military build-up around Ukraine is designed for combat operations and not a show of force (“bear scare”). The hypothetical campaign will likely target Kyiv and seek to install or facilitate the emergence of a Russian-friendly “salvation” government.

JULY 27, 2022

Flashpoint Snake Island: Why Russia Wanted the “Rock” in the Black Sea

Occupied in the opening hours of the invasion on 24 February 2022, Snake Island held, and still holds, kaleidoscopic importance for Moscow’s objectives in southwestern Ukraine and the Black Sea, including against NATO.

MAY 8, 2022

Target Transnistria: Russia’s Maskirovka and Pathways to Escalation (Threatcast)

Russian intelligence staged the recent provocations in Transnistria as part of a military deception campaign (“maskirovka”) to prevent Ukrainian forces in Odesa province from reinforcing positions in Donbas and Kherson.

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SEPTEMBER 8, 2021

Putin’s Mercenaries on Tour: Mapping the Wagner Group’s Global Activities

As Wagner’s reach is constantly expanding, our mapping project aims to filter through speculation and leverage open-source intelligence (OSINT) to track and assess Wagner’s presence and activity worldwide.

WE ARE T-INTELL

Who we are

T-Intelligence is a global network of security experts who provide bespoke intelligence analysis using Open Source Intelligence (OSINT). Founded by Vlad Sutea, a Germany-based OSINT instructor and analyst specialized in defense and armed conflicts, T-Intell has grown to an international network with diverse subject matter specializations.

We service companies, government agencies, and NGOs that have vested interests in areas threatened by armed conflicts, insurgencies, or geopolitical tensions. Consumers leverage our intelligence for business-critical activities, such as anticipating risk, better informing investment decisions, and navigating a complex geopolitical landscape with confidence.

Early warning and threatcasting are our “chef’s specialty,” as we strive to alert our intelligence consumers of potential hazards, watershed moments, and ripple effects.

Secure your operations, supply chains, and assets with us.

Know more.

Know ahead.

Actionable & Tailored

Bespoke Intelligence Analysis

Early warning & Threatcasting

Know ahead

Our “chef’s specialty” is delivering early warning intelligence. We identify indicators of impending hazards or watershed moments and envision how imminent threats might play out and impact your operations.

Foresight & Scenarios

Reduce uncertainty

We specialize in using advanced foresight techniques to help you navigate an uncertain future. By exploring potential scenarios and developing strategic plans to address them, we can help you reduce uncertainty and stay ahead of the curve.

Multimedia Forensics

Authenticate

Our multimedia forensics services can help you authenticate digital content and identify potential sources of misinformation or disinformation. Whether you’re dealing with deepfakes, manipulated images, or other types of digital fraud, we can provide the expertise you need to stay one step ahead.

Risk Assessment

Know your risk

Our risk assessment services can help you identify and mitigate potential threats to your business. By analyzing your operations and identifying areas of vulnerability, we can help you make informed decisions that reduce risk and increase your overall resilience.

Expert Analysis

Comprehend

Gain insight into complex geopolitical and military events. Our team of seasoned analysts and subject matter experts will help you understand the context, implications, and potential outcomes of critical events around the world. From political unrest to military conflicts, we can provide the expertise you need to make informed decisions in a rapidly changing global landscape.

Situation Reports

Stay informed

Our situation reports provide timely and accurate updates on emerging threats and other critical events. Whether you’re dealing with a natural disaster, a security incident, a developing geopolitical situation, or a public health crisis, we can help you stay up to date and make informed decisions in real time.

Early Warning & Threatcasting

Know ahead. Our “chef’s specialty” is delivering early warning intelligence. We identify indicators of impending hazards or watershed moments and envision how imminent threats might play out and impact your operations.

Foresight & Scenarios

Reduce uncertainty. We specialize in using advanced foresight techniques to help you navigate an uncertain future. By exploring potential scenarios and developing strategic plans to address them, we can help you reduce uncertainty and stay ahead of the curve.

Multimedia Forensics

Authenticate. Our multimedia forensics services can help you authenticate digital content and identify potential sources of misinformation or disinformation. Whether you’re dealing with deepfakes, manipulated images, or other types of digital fraud, we can provide the expertise you need to stay one step ahead.

Risk Assessment

Know your risk. Our risk assessment services can help you identify and mitigate potential threats to your business. By analyzing your operations and identifying areas of vulnerability, we can help you make informed decisions that reduce risk and increase your overall resilience.

Expert Analysis

Comprehend. Gain insight into complex geopolitical and military events. Our team of seasoned analysts and subject matter experts will help you understand the context, implications, and potential outcomes of critical events around the world. From political unrest to military conflicts, we can provide the expertise you need to make informed decisions in a rapidly changing global landscape.

Situation Reports

Stay informed. Our situation reports provide timely and accurate updates on emerging threats and other critical events. Whether you’re dealing with a natural disaster, a security incident, a developing geopolitical situation, or a public health crisis, we can help you stay up to date and make informed decisions in real time.

GLOBAL REACH

Our coverage

Resurgent Russia

Russia is wreaking havoc in the former Soviet space, destabilizing Europe and rebuilding influence across the globe as it attempts to regain its power status.

Europe at Risk

Europe is vulnerable to strategic sabotage, energy coercion, and armed conflicts in its neighborhood. The ``Old Continent`` struggles to rekindle its defense spending, increase cohesion, and wean off Russian energy as it adapts to the new security environment.

Instability in East Africa

A region of great potential riddled with civil wars, insurgencies and military competition.

The MENA Kaleidoscope

One of the most complex regions on Earth. We have a proven track record in producing intelligence on the region's many active warzones and flashpoints. Transational terrorist group, Iran, and other threats are on our radar.

Rise of China

A century-defining trend causing global disruptions. Covering East Asia is our top growing capability.

Strategic Waterways & Maritime Security

The straits of Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb continue to be the center of inter-state competition and nonstate actor activity, threatening energy supply and maritime trade.