Creative Threatcasting Scenario (CTS) – CTS is a strategic foresight method, inspired by the work of the West Point Military Academy’s Threatcasting Lab. Based on current events and trend analysis, CTS develops creative narratives about possible futures. By creating tangible scenarios, CTS helps to anticipate watershed moments and prepare for upcoming threats. Download the full […]
AFTER-ACTION REPORT – At 4:20 Damascus time, April 14, 2018, a joint Air and Naval operation of the United States of America (USA), Republic of France and the United Kingdom of Great Britain (UK) launched air strikes and Tomahawk Land Attack Missiles (TALM) from assets present in the Mediterranean and Red Seas, as well as […]
18 April 2018
Bazreh, Chemical weapons, Douma, France, Iran, President Donald J. Trump, red line, retaliation, russia, strike, syria, Syrian Civil War, UK, US
Urgent Briefing (4 min read) – A small pocket of land in eastern Damascus (also known as “Eastern Ghouta” is now the scene of the newest humanitarian catastrophy and intense military assault in Syria. In mid-February, Iranian and Russian-backed Syrian governmental troops have moved armed divisions and infantrymen from Idlib province to the exclave of Eastern Ghouta, […]
22 February 2018
Aleppo, assad, cease fire, de-escalation, Eastern Damascus, Eastern Ghouta, forces, Geneva, humanitarian crisis, Iran, pro-governmental, Rebels, russia, Siege, surrender-or-starve, Syrian Civil War, United Nations
The faith of Afrin, Syria’s northwestern corner, remains in the balance. The Kurdish militia, YPG, has struck a deal with the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) to enter Afrin, in a bid to deter and counter further Turkish advancements. Reports claim that SAA elements have already entered Afrin canton and are establishing outposts. 1. Just a month ago, the […]
19 February 2018
Afrin, Assad regime, deterrence, Free Syrian Army, HTS, Idlib, Kurds, Operation Olive Branch, pro-governmental, Rebels, russia, syria, Syrian Forces, Turkish attack
1. NATO has agreed to organize a military training mission in Iraq to project stability in the Middle East – Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg announced on Thursday following the North Atlantic Council (NAC) assembly of the Ministries of Defense gathered in Brussels. The project was considered the government from Baghdad and Prime-Minister Abadi sent an official request […]
16 February 2018
Counter-terrorism, iraq, Iraqi Security Forces, Middle East, NATO, non-combatant, training mission
Urgent Briefing – The Secretary General of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) has conducted a diplomatic tour to visit the two regional allies in Asia-Pacific, namely Japan and the Republic of Korea (ROK, ‘South Korea’). This raised a legitimate debate regarding NATO’s prospects in a region so far away from the Euro-Atlantic realm. Visits […]
2 November 2017
Article 5, Asia-Pacific, balistic missiles, China, Guam, Japan, Jens Stoltenberg, Korea peninsula, NATO, North Korea, nuclear threat, Secretary General of NATO, South Korea, USA
Situation Report – On September 9, the Syrian Arab Coalition (SAC) of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) have announced the start of Operation “Storm of Jazzira/ Cizre” or “Jazzira Storm” to liberate eastern Syria and Deir ez-Zor province from ISIS. This offensive was rumored to be under wraps for several months but it became an urgent […]
11 September 2017
Coalition, Da'esh, Deir ez-Zor, Deir Ezzor Military Council, Eastern Syria, Euphrates Valley, Hasakha, Inherent Resolve, Iran, isis, Mayadin, Raqqa, russia, SAC, SDF, syria, US, YPG
Strategic Analysis – Saber Guardian 2017 (SG17) is an annual, multinational exercise held in the Black Sea region as pat of the U.S. European Command Joint Exercise Program. This year’s iteration took place between July 11 – 20. The exercise’s aim was to assure allies and partners of the enduring U.S. commitment to the collective […]
23 July 2017
Baltic states, Black Sea, Bulgaria, Campia Turzii, Cluj, Euro-Atlantic, Europe, fleet, Georgia, Hungary, military exercise, NATO, Romania, Rusisa, Saber Guardian, Swift Response, turkey, U.S. Army Europe, Ukraine, USA
The Turkish Armed Forces have attacked the Kurdish militia YPG and the overall Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in northern Syria, between April 24 and 26. These attacks consisted in air strikes and artillery fire and were conducted in response to the SDF’s offensive against Da’esh in Raqqa. Turkey fears the SDF’s increasing warfighting capabilities and territorial foothold. 1. […]