As of March 25, 2025, negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, mediated by the Trump administration, remain unlikely to produce a peace settlement within the first 100 days of President Donald Trump’s second term or by Easter Sunday (April 20th). A limited-time ceasefire across the entire battlefield may ultimately be agreed upon by Ukraine and Russia, […]
Signs of infrastructure expansion in Ochamchire Bay, Russian-occupied Abkhazia, are emerging. While no major developments occurred at the pre-existing Russian FSB-Coast Guard base, new warehouses and cleared land in the adjacent area suggest potential expansion in connection to the Kremlin’s plans. Ochamchrie could serve as a reserve base for Russian warships displaced from occupied Crimea […]
In March 2024, the Republic of Moldova (including Transnistria) registered the following developments in its multi-sector security environment: Foreign Relations and European Integration Noteworthy developments from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and European Integration President Sandu’s major meetings and discussions Defense Modernization Mobilization exercises Strategic Defense Agreement with France Moldovan bilateral exercises Major defense-related meetings […]
In February 2024, the Republic of Moldova (including Transnistria) registered the following developments in its multi-sector security environment: Foreign Relations and European Integration Noteworthy developments from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and European Integration President Sandu’s major meetings and discussions Defense Modernization Talks with European defense companies for the modernization of the Moldovan National Army […]
Transnistria’s ‘Congress of Deputies’, the highest decision-making body in Moldova’s separatist region, proved to be of little to no significance. Although Moldova and Ukraine successfully anticipated that the congress would be inconsequential, international public opinion fell into the trap of anticipated escalation based on the ‘annexation’ scenario put forward by a Transnistrian oppositionist. The explicitly […]
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Transnistria’s ‘traffic police’ incorporating first-person view (FPV) drones could signal the increasing adoption of a Ukraine war staple among the separatists’ ‘security and military forces’ as ordered by the Tiraspol leadership earlier this year. TRANSNISTRIAN ‘INTERIOR MINISTRY FLIES FPV DRONES On 20FEB24, the so-called Transnistrian state traffic inspectorate initiated a trial using FPV drones to […]
The deteriorating situation in Avdiivka has become Colonel General Oleksandr Syrsky’s inaugural challenge since being appointed Ukraine’s commander-in-chief (CIC) on 8FEB24. Latest battlefield intelligence suggests that Russian forces have severed the main supply route (MSR) for the Ukrainian defenders in Avdiivka on 13FEB. This move divides the urban area into two pockets: the Coke and […]
In January 2024, the Republic of Moldova (including Transnistria) registered the following developments in its multi-sector security environment: Foreign Relations and European Integration Noteworthy developments from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and European Integration, including official meetings and phone conversations President Sandu’s major meetings and discussions Defense Modernization Moldovan National Army (MNA) personnel training priorities […]
Moldova and Transnistria undergo a security turning point in December 2023. Our December edition covers the end of the state of emergency, EU membership negotiations, defense modernization, and regional developments with Ukraine and Romania. KEY JUDGEMENTS Moldova formally ended its state of emergency on 30DEC23. Chisinau chose not to prolong the measures after their expiration. […]
