President Trump has announced a swift withdrawal of the 2,200 U.S. troops active in northeastern Syria, after claiming victory over Da’esh. The troops largely consist of special operations units, special...
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Archive
The Big Picture Behind Israel’s Operation Northern Shield
16 December 2018
1. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have initiated Operation Northern Shield to identify and destroy Hezbollah cross-border tunnels in Northern Israel. At the moment, the IDF is operating exclusively on...
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Immediate Measures to Protect Ukraine’s Navy: The Harpoon Solution
27 November 2018
1. Russia's Kerch blockade (23 November 2018) is a limited operation that advances Russian sea command objectives in Black Sea. The Ukrainian Navy, now contained to Odessa as the remaining...
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Why Romania’s Defense Procurement Matters for NATO
9 October 2018
In 2017, Romania initiated a visionary defence procurement program that will reinforce NATO’s Eastern flank and make the Romanian military a leading force in the Black Sea by the early 2020s....
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U.S. on Alert as Idlib Offensive is Imminent: Threat of Chemical Attacks?
30 August 2018
(1) The White House and the U.S. Department of Defense are closely monitoring the situation in the greater Idlib region. Over the past days, the Bashar al-Assad regime has continued...
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Murder of Journalists Exposes Russian Presence in the Central African Republic
8 August 2018
(1) On July 31, 2018, three Russian journalists were reported dead near Sibut, Central African Republic (CAR). Kirill Radchenko, Alexadner Rastorguyev and Orkhan Dzhemal were travelling between Sibut and Kaga...
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Operation Nightfall: Israel’s Ultimate Strike Against Iran in Syria
15 July 2018
Creative Threatcasting Scenario (CTS) - CTS is a strategic foresight method, inspired by the work of the West Point Military Academy’s Threatcasting Lab. Based on current events and trend analysis,...
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The Syria Strikes: Forecast Reflection and Damage Report of the Joint Air and Naval Operations
18 April 2018
AFTER-ACTION REPORT - At 4:20 Damascus time, April 14, 2018, a joint Air and Naval operation of the United States of America (USA), Republic of France and the United Kingdom...
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Starve, Surrender or Die: Eastern Damascus to Collapse
22 February 2018
Urgent Briefing (4 min read) - A small pocket of land in eastern Damascus (also known as "Eastern Ghouta" is now the scene of the newest humanitarian catastrophy and intense military assault...
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Kurds Host Assad’s Forces to Defend Afrin: Turks Respond via “Idlibistan”
19 February 2018
The faith of Afrin, Syria's northwestern corner, remains in the balance. The Kurdish militia, YPG, has struck a deal with the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) to enter Afrin, in a bid to...
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Helping Out: NATO Expands Support for Iraq
16 February 2018
1. NATO has agreed to organize a military training mission in Iraq to project stability in the Middle East - Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg announced on Thursday following the North Atlantic...
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NATO in Asia-Pacific: Temporary Deterrence or Forward Thinking?
2 November 2017
Urgent Briefing - The Secretary General of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) has conducted a diplomatic tour to visit the two regional allies in Asia-Pacific, namely Japan and the Republic...
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Rush to Deir Ez-Zor: Operation “Jazzira Storm”
11 September 2017
Situation Report - On September 9, the Syrian Arab Coalition (SAC) of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) have announced the start of Operation "Storm of Jazzira/ Cizre" or "Jazzira Storm" to...
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A ‘Swift Response’ from the ‘Saber Guardian’: Recognizing the Strategic Importance of the Black Sea Region
23 July 2017
Strategic Analysis - Saber Guardian 2017 (SG17) is an annual, multinational exercise held in the Black Sea region as pat of the U.S. European Command Joint Exercise Program. This year's...
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A Thin Line: Raqqa Offensive Endangered by Growing Turkish Attacks
26 April 2017
The Turkish Armed Forces have attacked the Kurdish militia YPG and the overall Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in northern Syria, between April 24 and 26. These attacks consisted in air strikes...
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