Tag: Intelligence

Airborne ISR over Transnistria Monitors Russian Drills

A Beech 200T (BE20) Super King Air aircraft outbound from Constanta (Romania) is currently flying Intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) sorties near the Russia-backed separatist republic of Transnistria (Moldova). The 200T…

A Beech 200T (BE20) Super King Air aircraft outbound from Constanta (Romania) is currently flying Intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) sorties near the Russia-backed separatist republic of Transnistria (Moldova). The 200T variant of the twin-turboprop aircraft is configured with a surveillance radar pod and vertical photography systems for aerial surveillance and reconnaissance. Based on initial observations, the BE20 calibrated its flight profile at a low-altitude of 3,000 meters and commenced with “donut rounds,” after reaching Transnistria’s northern edge. A typical BE20 low-altitude ISR mission takes approximately 5 hours. 

BE20 Flight (and 3D view) screen-grab from a public flight tracker via T-Intelligence

The ISR sortie, likely conducted by the U.S. Navy/Army, suggests significant nefarious activity on part of Russia in the breakaway Transnistria region. Russia has maintained a 1,200 troop presence in Transnistria since the 1992 conflict with the Republic of Moldova.

ASSESSMENT

The ISR is most likely collecting imagery intelligence on the recent activities of the Operational Group of the Russian Forces in Transnistria (OGRF-T). Military drills have been vaguely announced for mid-February and on February 4, the Russian Defense Ministry informed the public that the OGRF-T has finalised preparations. U.S. ISR sorties have been spotted periodically in January and almost daily between February 4 and 7.  The Russian Ministry of Defense has confirmed that the OGRF-T has conducted high-calibre firing drills from late January to February 1. The drills are part of a series of exercises organized in the Western Military District. Overall, the OGRF-T have increased their activities in Transnistria in 2017 and 2018, causing the Moldovan government push for the removal of foreign forces at the United Nations.  


By HARM and Gecko

DISCLAIMER: As the BE20 appears on flight trackers, the sortie is an intentionally public maneuver. This article has been updated.

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Maps

Here you can find a large selection of maps crafted by our Cartography Department. August 24, 2017: Situation Map of the battle for Raqqa, after SDF managed to almost completely…

Here you can find a large selection of maps crafted by our Cartography Department.


August 24, 2017: Situation Map of the battle for Raqqa, after SDF managed to almost completely liberate the Old Town and consequently, 55-60% of the city.


August 14, 2017: Aerial Defense Posture of regional actors in contrast with DPKR’s announced flight path of the missile threat towards Guam, United States.


July 23rd, 2017: Geopolitical Map of the Black Sea Region.


July 4th, 2017: Situation Map of the Battle for Raqqa where Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) are fighting for almost a month to liberate the ISIS self proclaimed “capital”.


March 4th, 2017: Clashes erupt near Sinjar, Nineveh, Iraq between Kurdistan Regional Government’s (KRG) Pashmerga Force and local Sinjar People’s Protection Units (Yazidi) affiliated with outlawed separatist terror organization, PKK.


March 3rd, 2017: Situation in Aleppo Governorate after the Manbij Military Council transferred its western territories to Russian, Syrian protectorate in order to prevent a Turkish-Rebel take-over.


March 3rd, 2017: The Syrian Arab Army (SAA) supported by Russian Air Force takes Palmyra from ISIS

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New Year’s Resolution: Syrian Civil War

STRATEGIC FORECAST – Reflecting on the Syrian Civil War’s end of the year and debut of 2017 I have outlined the following scenarios.  The analysis consists of a procedural process…

STRATEGIC FORECAST – Reflecting on the Syrian Civil War’s end of the year and debut of 2017 I have outlined the following scenarios.  The analysis consists of a procedural process of summarizing the context, deepening into present tendencies and outlining the prospects.  Sources are as always, Open (OSINT) gathered through social media crowd-sourcing and personal empirical and holistic conclusions.

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