Category: MENA

Towards an Ankara-Damascus endgame in Syria?

The recent developments in northern Syria have reconfigured again the chessboard of the Syrian Civil War. Turks have crossed the border in Jarabulus alongside FSA groups to free the city…

The recent developments in northern Syria have reconfigured again the chessboard of the Syrian Civil War. Turks have crossed the border in Jarabulus alongside FSA groups to free the city from Da’esh, and then extended its effort towards ousting the YPG, and even Kurdish elements from SDF, towards east of Euphrates; the mentioned groups also planned to free Jarabulus from ISIS thereby extending Kurdish land grab to the Turkish border – from Ankara’s perspective. The US, who was believed to be in the middle of a fall out with Ankara, has not only supported the Euphrates Shield Operation in Jarabulus, but the White House publicly threatened that if the Kurds don’t retreat to the other side of the river, they will lose US support[1]. (VIDEO Briefing on the Turkish invasion in Syria here)

Please follow and like us:
1 Comment on Towards an Ankara-Damascus endgame in Syria?

Turkey enters Syria: Operation Euphrates Shield (VIDEO)

As prospected by Transylvania Intelligence since August 2015, and announced on 1 am 24 august 2016, Turkey enters Syria in a limited cross-border operation, with tanks and special forces, empowering…

As prospected by Transylvania Intelligence since August 2015, and announced on 1 am 24 august 2016, Turkey enters Syria in a limited cross-border operation, with tanks and special forces, empowering FSA groups in freeing Jarabulus from ISIS rule. With US air support, this Turkish intervention is barley just an anti-Da’esh op as it is also focused in deterring #Kurdish advancements in the west of Euphrates. Take a look at this briefing to see raw footage, battlefield context and #geopolitical explanations.

Please follow and like us:
No Comments on Turkey enters Syria: Operation Euphrates Shield (VIDEO)

Retrospective from an August 2015 (successful?) Forecast: Turkey enters Syria!

The news is out, Turkey has crossed the border into Syria with tanks and special operators in order to enforce a FSA-operation against ISIS in Jarabulus. While the territory has…

The news is out, Turkey has crossed the border into Syria with tanks and special operators in order to enforce a FSA-operation against ISIS in Jarabulus. While the territory has held by Da’esh for years, Ankara has moved just now because the YPG-led SDF has showed it’s aspirations to free the City. And given Turkey’s Kurdish Independence phobia this was the only pragmatic way to claim the city for itself.

Please follow and like us:
No Comments on Retrospective from an August 2015 (successful?) Forecast: Turkey enters Syria!

Danger Close for US Operators in Hasakah

Close call between Syrian and American forcesin north-eastern Syria after two Syrian Arab Army fighter jets dropped bombs on Kurdish positions in Hasakah, where US Special Forces were also present….

Close call between Syrian and American forcesin north-eastern Syria after two Syrian Arab Army fighter jets dropped bombs on Kurdish positions in Hasakah, where US Special Forces were also present. In response, U.S. planes were scrambled in the area, making it one of the most critical US-Syria episodes since the War broke out[1]. Hasakah is in the Kurdish proclaimed Roajava federation which incorporates most of the northern Syrian lands, and has the YPG-led, US backed SDF as its officially army.

Please follow and like us:
No Comments on Danger Close for US Operators in Hasakah

After Manbij, SDF eyes al-Bab

The next operational step in SDF’s (Syrian Democratic Forces) successful campaign of ousting ISIS from Rojava (Kurdish for “West”; name for northern Syria) was under debate after the liberation of…

The next operational step in SDF’s (Syrian Democratic Forces) successful campaign of ousting ISIS from Rojava (Kurdish for “West”; name for northern Syria) was under debate after the liberation of Manbij from the terrorist occupation. One option was advancing towards the north, where Da’esh still has villages under control, and then continue to Jarabalus and free a major Turkish border checkpoint.

Please follow and like us:
No Comments on After Manbij, SDF eyes al-Bab

The Aleppo Briefing (VIDEO)

When the FSA is trapped in Eastern Aleppo and its last supply line is cut from outside resources, the Idlib-based rebels, mostly radical Salafi jihadists launch a counter-offensive to attack…

When the FSA is trapped in Eastern Aleppo and its last supply line is cut from outside resources, the Idlib-based rebels, mostly radical Salafi jihadists launch a counter-offensive to attack the Regime and its allies (Russia and Iran) in southern Aleppo to reopen a supply corridor.

Please follow and like us:
No Comments on The Aleppo Briefing (VIDEO)

Nusra – Al Qaeda Split: Rebranding or Reform?

Following Jabhat al-Nusra’s decision to split from the main Al-Qaeda structure with mutual acceptance, this descriptive analysis explores the organization’s history and its motives of this decision. It also considers…

Following Jabhat al-Nusra’s decision to split from the main Al-Qaeda structure with mutual acceptance, this descriptive analysis explores the organization’s history and its motives of this decision. It also considers prospective outcomes, taking into account all the major inputs of the regional and local chessboard as well as the geopolitical array.

Please follow and like us:
No Comments on Nusra – Al Qaeda Split: Rebranding or Reform?

Turkey: Army, State and Fear

From the Coup aftermath series, this analysis approaches a much more prospective subject but with an introspective character. The risks of having the entire top commanders of the Army arrested…

From the Coup aftermath series, this analysis approaches a much more prospective subject but with an introspective character. The risks of having the entire top commanders of the Army arrested and the way the State and the Army will work in the future having faced the AKP-Gulen Movement element are main pillars of this analysis. Moreover the very likely scenario in which the political class would not be capable of trusting the Army anymore is already shaping. As an effect, the political body would need to take decisions to evade its dependency on the Armed Forces; even if that mean’s outsourcing security. 

Please follow and like us:
2 Comments on Turkey: Army, State and Fear

Saving Erdogan: a Short Story

Turkey’s Government retook the overall control over a situation that not long ago was considered as being wrapped. What happened that changed the course of the Coup and how did…

Turkey’s Government retook the overall control over a situation that not long ago was considered as being wrapped. What happened that changed the course of the Coup and how did Erdogan survive?

Please follow and like us:
No Comments on Saving Erdogan: a Short Story

Failed Coup in Turkey: First Hand Observation

This analysis approaches the recent situation in the Republic of Turkey the began in the night of 15th of July. A group of top army officers have attempted a coup d’etat using…

This analysis approaches the recent situation in the Republic of Turkey the began in the night of 15th of July. A group of top army officers have attempted a coup d’etat using defense assets to seize critical infrastructure, news companies, public administration and AKP buildings, in order to overthrow the current government led by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Prime-Minister Binali Yildirim. 

Please follow and like us:
No Comments on Failed Coup in Turkey: First Hand Observation

Type on the field below and hit Enter/Return to search