Ukraine’s deep-strike campaign against Russia’s oil and gas sector has proven to be Kyiv’s joker card, forcing Putin to agree, although unconvincingly, to an energy ceasefire in March. The debut of the Long Neptune land attack cruise missile in May 2025 against the Tuapse oil refinery, destroying 20,000 tons of gasoline, marked a significant increase […]
The following analysis is an updated and revised version of our preliminary-battle damage assessment (P-BDA) released after very-high-resolution (VHR) satellite imagery of Saki Air Base surfaced online, on August 10. We assess that the explosions at Saki AB resulted from a Ukrainian attack and not a “work accident,” as described by Russian authorities. P-BDA “hot […]
