Situation Report and Tactical Annexes – The Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) have issued an updated battle war suggesting a finalized phase for the months-long battle. The last western neighborhoods controlled by ISIS...
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Archive
Towards a New Strategy for Afghanistan: ISIS-K, Taliban Resurgence and Geopolitical Competition
9 May 2017
(1) The security landscape in South Asia and the Far East is continuously degrading under transnational militant activity and competing geopolitical Chinese and Russian ambitions. (2) The fugitive US pull-out has...
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A Thin Line: Raqqa Offensive Endangered by Growing Turkish Attacks
26 April 2017
The Turkish Armed Forces have attacked the Kurdish militia YPG and the overall Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in northern Syria, between April 24 and 26. These attacks consisted in air strikes...
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Firm but Fair: Key questions of the limited US Tomahawk strikes against Assad in Syria
8 April 2017
Yesterday, around 4:40 local time in Syria, the United States Navy has launched 59 Tomahawk strikes from the USS Ross and USS Porter, eastern Mediterranean, and hit the Shayrat Airfield....
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Road to Raqqa: Are we there yet?
1 April 2017
INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS – The Euphrates corridor, as any waterway in the Middle East (and not only) has been a catalyst for urban settlement, agriculture industry and energy development. Crossing Syria...
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Objective Raqqa: Actors, Strategies and Black Swans
21 February 2017
SITUATION REPORT – The following assessment outlines the Turkish proposals for a Raqqa offensive, made by Akar, the Turkish Joint Chief of Staff to Dunford, the American counter-part. This SitRep...
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Missile Strike in Riyadh? The Yemeni Risk
6 February 2017
SITUATION REPORT – The Houthis (Arabic: الحوثيون al-Ḥūthiyyūn ; officially called Ansar Allah أنصار الله "Supporters of God") and Saleh Ali al-Sammad’s Supreme Political Council in Yemen have claimed that...
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Jihadi Affairs: Al-Qaeda re-emerges in Idlib
30 January 2017
SITUATION REPORT - A major merger has occurred in the past days in Syria, giving birth to a troubling Jihadi force, called Tahrir al-Sham. The group is built on the...
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New Year’s Resolution: Syrian Civil War
10 January 2017
STRATEGIC FORECAST – Reflecting on the Syrian Civil War’s end of the year and debut of 2017 I have outlined the following scenarios. The analysis consists of a procedural process...
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Objective Raqqa: the Wrath of Euphrates
6 November 2016
The SDF (Syrian Democratic Forces) have officially announced that they've began an operation with the objective of liberating ISIL's self-declared capital of Raqqa. The press conference held by the multi-ethnic...
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Credible Ceasefire or a Strategic Time-out?
12 September 2016
A diplomatic effort to halt the hostilities in Syria has been green-lighted Sunday, September 11th, with the Syrian Arab News Agency said the truce would run from 7.00 p.m. local...
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Mission Accomplished: Border Security à la Ankara
5 September 2016
The following is an operational review focused on Operation Euphrates Shield, launched, coordinated by the Turkish Armed Forces and spearheaded by the Free Syrian Army (FSA) and allies. Preface On...
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Tango Down: Major Da’esh leader killed
31 August 2016
Da'esh said on Tuesday, August 30th that one of its most prominent and longest-serving leaders was killed in what appeared to be an American air strike in Syria, depriving the...
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Towards an Ankara-Damascus endgame in Syria?
27 August 2016
The recent developments in northern Syria have reconfigured again the chessboard of the Syrian Civil War. Turks have crossed the border in Jarabulus alongside FSA groups to free the city...
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Turkey enters Syria: Operation Euphrates Shield (VIDEO)
25 August 2016
As prospected by Transylvania Intelligence since August 2015, and announced on 1 am 24 august 2016, Turkey enters Syria in a limited cross-border operation, with tanks and special forces, empowering...
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Danger Close for US Operators in Hasakah
20 August 2016
Close call between Syrian and American forcesin north-eastern Syria after two Syrian Arab Army fighter jets dropped bombs on Kurdish positions in Hasakah, where US Special Forces were also present....
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After Manbij, SDF eyes al-Bab
15 August 2016
The next operational step in SDF’s (Syrian Democratic Forces) successful campaign of ousting ISIS from Rojava (Kurdish for "West"; name for northern Syria) was under debate after the liberation of...
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Another Bear Attack?
12 August 2016
Moscow and Kiev are putting their armies on high alert after Russia accused Ukrainian forces of launching raids into Crimea. Moreover, Russian troops at the de facto Crimean-Ukrainian border have...
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