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Road to Raqqa: Are we there yet?
Analysis CT/ COIN Featured MENA Regions Terrorism

Road to Raqqa: Are we there yet?

INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS – The Euphrates corridor, as any waterway in the Middle East (and not only) has been a catalyst for urban settlement, agriculture industry and energy development. Crossing Syria...
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Objective Raqqa: Actors, Strategies and Black Swans
Arab Winter CT/ COIN Featured MENA Regions SitRep Terrorism Turkey

Objective Raqqa: Actors, Strategies and Black Swans

SITUATION REPORT – The following assessment outlines the Turkish proposals for a Raqqa offensive, made by Akar, the Turkish Joint Chief of Staff to Dunford, the American counter-part. This SitRep...
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Missile Strike in Riyadh? The Yemeni Risk
Arab Winter MENA Regions SitRep

Missile Strike in Riyadh? The Yemeni Risk

SITUATION REPORT – The Houthis (Arabic: الحوثيون‎‎ al-Ḥūthiyyūn ; officially called Ansar Allah أنصار الله "Supporters of God") and Saleh Ali al-Sammad’s Supreme Political Council in Yemen have claimed that...
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Jihadi Affairs: Al-Qaeda re-emerges in Idlib
Arab Winter Featured MENA SitRep Terrorism

Jihadi Affairs: Al-Qaeda re-emerges in Idlib

SITUATION REPORT - A major merger has occurred in the past days in Syria, giving birth to a troubling Jihadi force, called Tahrir al-Sham. The group is built on the...
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New Year’s Resolution: Syrian Civil War
Analysis Arab Winter Featured MENA Regions

New Year’s Resolution: Syrian Civil War

STRATEGIC FORECAST – Reflecting on the Syrian Civil War’s end of the year and debut of 2017 I have outlined the following scenarios.  The analysis consists of a procedural process...
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Military build-up on Turkish-Iraqi border
Featured MENA SitRep Turkey

Military build-up on Turkish-Iraqi border

SITUATION REPORT - A video appeared online supposedly showing a military build-up in the Turkish southeastern region of Hakkari, near the Iraqi border. The convoy is formed by dozens of...
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Objective Raqqa: the Wrath of Euphrates
Analysis Arab Winter CT/ COIN Featured MENA

Objective Raqqa: the Wrath of Euphrates

The SDF (Syrian Democratic Forces) have officially announced that they've began an operation with the objective of liberating ISIL's self-declared capital of Raqqa. The press conference held by the multi-ethnic...
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Credible Ceasefire or a Strategic Time-out?
Analysis Arab Winter Cold War 2.0 Featured MENA Regions

Credible Ceasefire or a Strategic Time-out?

A diplomatic effort to halt the hostilities in Syria has been green-lighted Sunday, September 11th, with the Syrian Arab News Agency said the truce would run from 7.00 p.m. local...
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Road to Mosul: Iraq in Review
Analysis CT/ COIN Featured MENA Regions Terrorism

Road to Mosul: Iraq in Review

The Islamic State organization has been on the losing side for the last year in Syria and Iraq. Pentagon estimated in August that over 25,000 ISIS operators have been killed...
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Mission Accomplished: Border Security à la Ankara
Arab Winter CT/ COIN Featured MENA SitRep Turkey

Mission Accomplished: Border Security à la Ankara

The following is an operational review focused on Operation Euphrates Shield, launched, coordinated by the Turkish Armed Forces and spearheaded by the Free Syrian Army (FSA) and allies. Preface On...
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Tango Down: Major Da’esh leader killed
CT/ COIN Terrorism

Tango Down: Major Da’esh leader killed

Da'esh said on Tuesday, August 30th that one of its most prominent and longest-serving leaders was killed in what appeared to be an American air strike in Syria, depriving the...
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Towards an Ankara-Damascus endgame in Syria?
Analysis Arab Winter CT/ COIN Featured MENA Turkey

Towards an Ankara-Damascus endgame in Syria?

The recent developments in northern Syria have reconfigured again the chessboard of the Syrian Civil War. Turks have crossed the border in Jarabulus alongside FSA groups to free the city...
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Turkey enters Syria: Operation Euphrates Shield (VIDEO)
Arab Winter CT/ COIN Featured MENA Turkey Video

Turkey enters Syria: Operation Euphrates Shield (VIDEO)

As prospected by Transylvania Intelligence since August 2015, and announced on 1 am 24 august 2016, Turkey enters Syria in a limited cross-border operation, with tanks and special forces, empowering...
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Danger Close for US Operators in Hasakah
Arab Winter Featured MENA

Danger Close for US Operators in Hasakah

Close call between Syrian and American forcesin north-eastern Syria after two Syrian Arab Army fighter jets dropped bombs on Kurdish positions in Hasakah, where US Special Forces were also present....
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After Manbij, SDF eyes al-Bab
Arab Winter CT/ COIN Featured MENA SitRep

After Manbij, SDF eyes al-Bab

The next operational step in SDF’s (Syrian Democratic Forces) successful campaign of ousting ISIS from Rojava (Kurdish for "West"; name for northern Syria) was under debate after the liberation of...
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Another Bear Attack?
Analysis Cold War 2.0 Hybrid Warfare Ukrainian Crisis

Another Bear Attack?

Moscow and Kiev are putting their armies on high alert after Russia accused Ukrainian forces of launching raids into Crimea. Moreover, Russian troops at the de facto Crimean-Ukrainian border have...
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Nusra – Al Qaeda Split: Rebranding or Reform?
Analysis Arab Winter Featured MENA Terrorism

Nusra – Al Qaeda Split: Rebranding or Reform?

Following Jabhat al-Nusra's decision to split from the main Al-Qaeda structure with mutual acceptance, this descriptive analysis explores the organization's history and its motives of this decision. It also considers...
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NATO’s Warsaw Summit: Recap
Euro-Atlantic Featured SitRep

NATO’s Warsaw Summit: Recap

During July 8-9 the 27th NATO Summit has taken place in the Polish capital of Warsaw. This location was were decades ago, in 1955, the infaimous response to NATO was...
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Incirlik Air Base reopens with arrests
Uncategorized

Incirlik Air Base reopens with arrests

The airbase located in south-east Turkey, near the city of Adana has been reopened after being shut and airspace closed as an aftermath of the Turkish Coup attempt. (more…)
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The Forgotten “Wild Card”: Israel in Syria
Arab Winter Featured

The Forgotten “Wild Card”: Israel in Syria

Recent Context Following Benjamin's Netanyahu's Monday announcement, we can conclude that Israel has hit "dozens of targets" in Syria against Hezbollah. No further detailed intelligence is known except that the...
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